Analysis: Tomorrow's historically largest options expiration may amplify BTC volatility, with a potential rebound opportunity if BTC falls to $80,000-$82,000.

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/12/25 11:16:18
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, December 25th, data analyst Murphy stated that tomorrow, Bitcoin options worth around $23.6 billion will expire, marking the largest options expiry day in Bitcoin's history. After market makers unwind their related hedge positions, the previously established support and resistance levels based on the options structure will temporarily lose their effectiveness, potentially amplifying BTC's volatility in the short term until all participants reposition, forming a new market structure.

If during this period BTC retraces near the previous bottom (around $80,000-$82,000), it would present an opportunity for a "short-term rebound." The volatility during the structural vacuum phase may not necessarily signify the beginning of a new round of sharp decline. Furthermore, a "bullish divergence" signal has been observed on the small timeframe of "price and volume increment gradient."

The "price and volume increment gradient" measures the relative momentum change between BTC's price dynamics and real capital inflows. When the rate of capital outflow decreases compared to the speed of BTC price decline, it can be interpreted as a correction to the downtrend, indicating a demand for a rebound.

During the periods of 2024-2025 and 2021-2022, after four "bullish divergence" signals, BTC experienced various levels of rebound rallies or even trend reversals. However, considering the current overall market sentiment is still in a bearish corrective phase, the former scenario is more likely.

You may also like

How has the Pacific "fever" turned extreme weather into a cash machine for Wall Street?

The extreme weather caused by El Niño is sweeping through the commodity markets, becoming not only a "weather code" for quantitative funds and traders to frantically profit from, but also quietly driving up global food prices and the cost of living for ordinary people.

Trade Spot Market Orders With More Control: WEEX Adds Slippage Tolerance

WEEX Spot now supports Slippage tolerance for market orders, helping users set a maximum acceptable price deviation before placing a market buy or sell order

Morning Report | One week after the full implementation of the EU MiCA, 21 stablecoin issuers and over 270 crypto service providers have obtained regulatory qualifications; Microsoft lays off 4,800 employees, with Xbox accounting for about 3,200 of the...

July 7 Market Important Events Overview

Morning News | SK Hynix officially launches the marketing promotion process for its U.S. stock listing; the Central Cyberspace Administration announces the results of the first phase of rectifying AI application chaos, with over 14,000 non-compliant pr...

July 6 Market Important Events Overview

How has Binance's stock business performed in the 30 days since its launch?

Emerging market buying supported the first wave of demand.

Blockchain Capital Partner: AI is rewriting the fundamental unit of labor

The rise of AI is rewriting the basic unit of labor from "positions" and "companies" to "tasks." When programmable labor meets programmable currency, a production line without companies, salary systems, or HR becomes possible for the first time.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com